Category Archives: weather

EF1 Tornado in Crawford County

Confirmed in Uniontown and North of Cedarville.

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1339656609475806&substory_index=0&id=878737445567727

 

Impacted by Floods?

We have had several citizens contact us about actions to be taken by residents if their homes are impacted by floods or other severe weather events. Click the link below to learn more about the recovery process. Again, our website is meant to be a source of information. Please be safe out there during this period of severe weather!http://www.adem.arkansas.gov/aem/recovery/recovery-process/

 

adem.arkansasa.gov

Governor Asa Hutchinson has declared a State of Emergency for Arkansas in response to the severe storms and flooding throughout the state.

Arkansas Department of Emergency Management officials are receiving all of the requests from the counties and are responding on order of the Governor.

“Our prayers go out to the families who lost loved ones in the heavy rain and storms last night. I also thank our first responders who have worked tirelessly to provide assistance,” Governor Hutchinson said. “This afternoon I declared a State of Emergency for Arkansas to ensure that we have in place available resources to assist counties affected by last night’s storms. ADEM continues to coordinate with counties on damage assessments.”

 

https://www.facebook.com/ARemergencies/?hc_ref=NEWSFEED&fref=nf

 

Crawford County Tornado Shelters

CEDARVILLE:

Elementary School Campus  9335 Armer Lane

MULBERRY:

Mulberry Elementary School Safe Room, 1319 N Main

ALMA: Intermediate School Safe Room: 1220 W Collum Lane ,

Primary School Safe Room: 1600 Hwy 64 E,

Middle School Safe Room: 706 Hwy 64 E,

High School Safe Room: 101 E Main

VAN BUREN:

Rena Elementary: 720 Rena Rd

High School: 2001 Pointer Tr

Parkview Elementary: 605 Parkview

Tate Elementary: 406 Catcher Rd

King Elementary: 401 N 19th

Freshman Academy: 821 E Pointer Tr

Senior Center: 607 Knox

 

Storm Shelter’s do not open until there is a Tornado WARNING.

 

 

 

 

THV11 Weather for today

SPC has upped the risk area for tornadoes. The ‘hatched’ area indicates 10% chance of EF2-EF5 Tornado. #BeOn11 #arwx

 

 

Weather 3/29/17

Picture

As can be seen here, the slight risk, represented by yellow, and 15% is surrounding the Enhanced risk or, the 30% area. Conditions within the Enhanced zone are forecast to be favorable for numerous severe thunderstorms. That black, hatched area, is where significant severe weather has a higher likelihood of unfolding. Significant can count as, hail larger than 2 inches in diameter, damaging wind gusts, potentially up to 90 mph, and a strong tornado, or strong tornadoes, EF2 or higher. Later tonight, a line of storms will approach from Oklahoma and Texas from the severe weather outbreak that occurred over in Texas and Oklahoma today. Those, according to the model data, dies out pretty steadily as it approaches Arkansas. Where these storms die will be a pretty good sized factor. This is because where they die, may be the initiation point for the afternoon storms, so if the atmosphere recovers enough, storms will develop in Eastern OK and move into W. Arkansas during the late afternoon to early evening hours. These storms will most likely gain strength as they move into a very good environment supportive of severe weather. That can be seen on the map above. Another factor will be cloud cover, right now data points to the warm front, that is currently passing over the state right now, will bring with it, cloud cover. But at the same time, it is indicating that there will be breaks in the clouds and substantial heating. Most of this will be a wait and see thing, because small scale features like this are pretty difficult to forecast without being on the day of, given how much this stuff can change. Another one, instability! That is a BIG player, most model guidance is suggesting that we will have favorable instability, this instability will be enhanced if the sun is able to shine through the clouds. If cloud cover persists, the instability MAY be hindered some, but regardless, the environment looks favorable for severe thunderstorms. With this said, let’s touch on storm mode. The initial storm mode at this time looks to very well be isolated storms. This would lead to a greater risk for tornadoes, so for the time being, initial storm mode looks to be isolated storms, then eventually a line may move in. This line would feature more of a damaging wind threat. How about a risk upgrade? A risk upgrade to Moderate (level 4/5) for severe weather is certainly possible, but we will have to wait on the Storm Prediction Center to see what they have to say about that possibility. With all of this said, let’s move onto the threats, the threats WILL change, but here is an updated threats outlook, as well as another OUTBREAK POTENTIAL update as well.

 

Slight risk:
Tornadoes: Low
Damaging winds: Medium
Large hail: Low
Heavy Rain: Medium

Enhanced Risk:
Tornadoes: Medium
Large hail: Medium
Damaging Winds: High
Heavy Rain: High

OUTBREAK POTENTIAL: Medium. Given that we get the right things to happen, breaks in the clouds, sufficient heating, etc. we could possibly see an outbreak.

That is all for this update as I need to wrap things up and head to bed for coverage tomorrow. I will try to release another blog before things get started. Thank you guys for reading, and have a good night!
​~Michael

http://arkansaswx.weebly.com/weather-discussions/urgent-very-detailed-blog-for-significant-severe-weather-potential-tomorrow-straight-to-the-point-on-details